Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000123 0.000136 0.000151 0.000168 0.000186 0.000206 0.000230
2025-10-26 0.000102 0.000120 0.000141 0.000166 0.000195 0.000230 0.000272
2025-11-02 0.000086 0.000107 0.000132 0.000163 0.000203 0.000251 0.000313
2025-11-09 0.000075 0.000098 0.000126 0.000163 0.000212 0.000274 0.000358
2025-11-16 0.000066 0.000089 0.000119 0.000161 0.000218 0.000293 0.000401
2025-11-23 0.000059 0.000083 0.000114 0.000160 0.000225 0.000314 0.000447
2025-11-30 0.000054 0.000078 0.000111 0.000160 0.000233 0.000337 0.000497
2025-12-07 0.000049 0.000072 0.000106 0.000159 0.000238 0.000355 0.000541
2025-12-14 0.000045 0.000069 0.000105 0.000161 0.000249 0.000382 0.000602
2025-12-21 0.000042 0.000066 0.000102 0.000162 0.000257 0.000406 0.000659
2025-12-28 0.000039 0.000063 0.000099 0.000161 0.000262 0.000425 0.000710
2026-01-04 0.000037 0.000061 0.000098 0.000163 0.000273 0.000455 0.000780
2026-01-11 0.000034 0.000058 0.000096 0.000164 0.000281 0.000480 0.000846
2026-01-18 0.000032 0.000055 0.000094 0.000163 0.000288 0.000503 0.000912
2026-01-25 0.000030 0.000052 0.000091 0.000162 0.000292 0.000524 0.000974
2026-02-01 0.000028 0.000050 0.000089 0.000162 0.000299 0.000549 0.001046
2026-02-08 0.000026 0.000048 0.000086 0.000161 0.000303 0.000568 0.001109
2026-02-15 0.000024 0.000046 0.000084 0.000160 0.000308 0.000591 0.001182
2026-02-22 0.000023 0.000044 0.000083 0.000160 0.000316 0.000618 0.001265
2026-03-01 0.000022 0.000042 0.000080 0.000159 0.000319 0.000637 0.001333
2026-03-08 0.000021 0.000041 0.000080 0.000161 0.000330 0.000673 0.001442
2026-03-15 0.000020 0.000040 0.000079 0.000162 0.000338 0.000703 0.001539
2026-03-22 0.000019 0.000038 0.000077 0.000161 0.000342 0.000726 0.001621